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Timberline Resources Corp (TLRS)·Q1 2019 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 FY2019 was an exploration-focused quarter: consolidated net loss was $0.55M, EPS $(0.01), mineral exploration expenses rose to $0.272M, and working capital improved to $0.059M versus negative in Q4 .
  • Management highlighted “continued exploration success” at Elder Creek with a “very positive geophysical survey” and plans for follow-up drilling—key operational catalysts for the next quarter .
  • Trajectory vs prior two quarters improved from the Q4 FY2018 net loss of $0.704M and materially better than Q2 FY2018’s $3.696M net loss driven by the $3.2M Talapoosa write-off .
  • No formal guidance or earnings call transcript were found; Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global appear unavailable for TLRS, limiting beat/miss framing .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Elder Creek momentum: “continued exploration success…very positive geophysical survey” with planned follow-up drilling—a tangible pipeline catalyst into Q2 FY2019 .
  • Working capital improvement: moved to $0.059M in Q1 from $(0.228)M in Q4, indicating near-term liquidity stabilization .
  • Strategic focus reaffirmed: refocused efforts on Nevada projects (Elder Creek, Paiute, Eureka) with JV partners (Barrick, McEwen), supporting optionality and potential partner-driven advancement .

What Went Wrong

  • Loss widened YoY: consolidated net loss increased to $0.55M vs $0.329M in Q1 FY2018; exploration expenses jumped to $0.272M vs $0.026M YoY, reflecting higher spend intensity .
  • No revenue or operating cash inflows disclosed in the press release; company remains non-producing, elevating financing and dilution risk if exploration ramps without near-term monetization .
  • No guidance or estimates coverage: absence of formal financial guidance and lack of S&P Global consensus limits investor visibility and hampers beat/miss catalysts .

Financial Results

Quarterly comparison (oldest → newest)

MetricQ2 FY2018 (Mar 31, 2018)Q3 FY2018 (Jun 30, 2018)Q4 FY2018 (Sep 30, 2018)Q1 FY2019 (Dec 31, 2018)
Consolidated Net Loss ($USD 000s)$(3,696) $(329) $(704) $(550)
EPS (Basic & Diluted, $USD)$(0.10) $(0.01) $(0.01) $(0.01)
Mineral Exploration Expenses ($USD 000s)$21 $23 $452 $272
Working Capital ($USD 000s)$(179) $283 $(228) $59

Year-over-year Q1 comparison

MetricQ1 FY2018 (Dec 31, 2017)Q1 FY2019 (Dec 31, 2018)
Consolidated Net Loss ($USD 000s)$(329) $(550)
EPS (Basic & Diluted, $USD)$(0.01) $(0.01)
Mineral Exploration Expenses ($USD 000s)$26 $272
Working Capital ($USD 000s)$119 $59

Segment breakdown and KPIs: Not applicable; TLRS is a non-producing exploration company with no reported revenue segments in these filings .

Key drivers:

  • Q2 FY2018 net loss included a $3.2M write-off of Talapoosa; agreement terminated March 31, 2018 .
  • Q4 FY2018 exploration spending increased, including initial drill program at Elder Creek documenting porphyry mineralization .
  • Q1 FY2019 exploration spending remained elevated as work advanced at Elder Creek and Paiute .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Financial or operational guidanceFY2019/Q1-Q2None disclosed None disclosed Maintained (no guidance)

No explicit guidance ranges (revenue, margins, OpEx, OI&E, tax rate, segment/dividends) were provided in Q1 FY2019 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q1 FY2019 earnings call transcript found; themes compiled from company press releases and 8-Ks.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 FY2018)Previous Mentions (Q3 FY2018)Previous Mentions (Q4 FY2018)Current Period (Q1 FY2019)Trend
Strategic pivot away from TalapoosaTerminated option; wrote off $3.2M; refocus on Nevada Advancing acquisitions/JVs in Battle Mountain (Elder Creek, Paiute) Porphyry mineralization documented at Elder Creek; higher exploration spend Positive Elder Creek geophysical survey; follow-up drilling planned Consistent execution toward Battle Mountain-Eureka focus
Exploration intensity/spendLow exploration spend ($21k) Low spend ($23k) High spend ($452k) Elevated spend ($272k) Rising spend aligned with project advancement
Partnerships/JVsPositioning with strategic partners JV interests (Barrick, McEwen) advancing JV projects referenced (Elder Creek, Paiute) Continued operator role on JV projects Stable partner-supported development
Liquidity/working capital$(179)k $283k $(228)k $59k Volatile; improved from Q4 to Q1 but below Q3
Management/CFOCFO resignation effective Aug 27, 2018 Stable after transition

Management Commentary

  • “We began Fiscal 2019 with continued exploration success at our Elder Creek Project…with a very positive geophysical survey. We look forward to follow-up drilling on the priority anomaly, and expanding the survey coverage as we progress through the second quarter of 2019.” — Steve Osterberg, President & CEO .
  • “In Q4, we increased our investment in exploration with an initial drill program which documented the existence of a mineralized copper-molybdenum-gold-silver porphyry at Elder Creek.” — Steve Osterberg .
  • “We are refocusing our efforts on projects in the Battle Mountain-Eureka gold trend in Nevada…additional property interests…gain important, strategic partners.” — Steve Osterberg (Talapoosa write-off commentary) .
  • “We have strengthened and solidified our Board…advancing the acquisition of the Elder Creek and Paiute projects…plan follow-up…with further field testing including strategic drilling.” — Steve Osterberg .

Q&A Highlights

No Q1 FY2019 earnings call transcript was found; therefore, no analyst Q&A themes or call-based guidance clarifications are available for this period [List: earnings-call-transcript=0 for 2018-10-01 to 2019-03-31].

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates (EPS and revenue) via S&P Global appear unavailable for TLRS for Q1 FY2019 due to missing CIQ mapping; no beat/miss assessment can be made. Coverage gaps likely reflect non-producing, microcap exploration status [GetEstimates error; mapping unavailable].
  • Investors should not expect consensus-driven catalysts this quarter; narrative is driven by exploration milestones and financing/liquidity updates .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The narrative is exploration-led: Elder Creek’s positive geophysics and planned drilling are near-term catalysts; watch for survey expansion and initial drill results in Q2 .
  • Losses are driven by elevated exploration spend; Q1 net loss improved vs Q4 but widened YoY with spend up sharply—expect continued P&L volatility tied to field programs .
  • Liquidity improved from Q4’s negative working capital but remains thin; monitor capital raises and JV funding mechanics to support increased activity without excessive dilution .
  • Strategic repositioning post-Talapoosa write-off is translating into advancing Nevada assets with partner alignment (Barrick/McEwen), which can de-risk execution if partners fund or operate key phases .
  • Lack of guidance and consensus coverage shifts catalysts to operational updates rather than earnings beats; trading sensitivities will hinge on technical results and permitting/partner news flow .
  • Consider scenario analysis: successful Elder Creek drilling and Windfall resource progress could rerate optionality; conversely, delays or weak results could pressure the stock given limited financial buffers .
  • Near-term focus: Q2 field program execution, any financing disclosures, and JV advancement updates; position sizing should reflect exploration-stage risk profile and liquidity constraints .

Citations:

  • Q1 FY2019 8-K and press release exhibit
  • Q4 FY2018 8-K and press release exhibit
  • Q3 FY2018 8-K and press releases
  • Q2 FY2018 8-K and press release exhibit